EN
31 January 2012 - 06:06 AMT

Russian ex-minister forecasts euro decline

The euro will decrease over the next 16 months, Russia's former finance minister Alexei Kudrin said on Tuesday, January 31.

"From my point of view, the euro will begin declining over the next year and a half amid volatility," Kudrin wrote in his Twitter post.

Kudrin said that the currency crisis in Europe had already started and was 90 percent sure that one to three states would leave the eurozone. Greece, Ireland and Portugal have the largest debt problems, while Spain and Italy may enter the high-risk zone in the near future.

The former minister also said that world economy growth in 2012 would be lower than the expected 3.3 percent owing to the second wave of the crisis, the thick of which would be in the eurozone as the debt crisis worsened the prospects of the EU.

Russia's Economic Development Minister Elvira Nabiullina said the European economy had faced recession and might fall 0.6 percent under the ministry's forecast.

Nabiullina believes the European states would not overcome the crisis by simply reducing state debts, expenses and budget deficits. The main reason for the eurozone crisis is that European products have become less competitive, RIA Novosti reported.