«A strange rule is formed in the dynamics of the Karabakh peacemaking diplomacy. Each calendar year finishes with a splash of activities and pledges of progress soon. This is followed by a lull, mainly conditioned by rotation of the MG leadership and adaptation of the new peacemaking team to the reality. The imitation activation takes place in the middle of the year. Summer is marked with a lull, followed by the final autumn imitation of activities of the OSCE Minsk Group,» supposes editor of a department and political expert of Turan Azeri information agency, political scientist Zafar Guliyev. «As the OSCE MG did not propose any new ideas on settlement and there were no changes in the stands of the parties, any serious breaks in the talks are not expected,» he remarked.
Guliyev also emphasized that «political settlement of the Nagorno Karabakh issue from the moment of cease-fire is in fact transferred to the place of «dispute» between the US (West) and Russia.» «Any attempt to withdraw the negotiation lull and settle the conflict without US and Russia is pregnant with serious threats. First of all to Azerbaijan, as being a loser, Baku is more interested in fair settlement of the problem soon,» the political scientist considers. As of the war, in his opinion, its resumption owing to parties’ own efforts does not seem likely. «The conflict is controlled by international organizations and countries – OSCE MG co-chairs (US, Russia and France), who are not interested in reanimation of hostilities in the region. A war in principle could be inspired by the superpowers themselves (US or Russia), however they hardly plan it now. Besides, their competing interests in the region, the potential of influence on the conflict participants and simultaneous participation in settlement of the conflict form some geopolitical balance in favor of keeping the peace,» Guliyev said, reported the Novoye Vremya Baku newspaper.
