20 years is not a long term for a conflict on a similar scale with Nagorno Karabakh issue, according to a Russian political analyst.
“Karabakh conflict settlement is linked with many issues like recognition of the Armenian Genocide, opening of Turkish-Armenian border, acknowledgement of new South Caucasus States: Abkhazia and South Ossetia, the issues of democracy and expression of free will of Artsakh people,” Novosti-Azerbaijan quoted Vitaly Trofimov as saying.
“However, in contrast to Arab-Israeli conflict, Karabakh conflict is not hopeless,” he noted.
“As a Collective Security Treaty Organization member, Armenia can count for member states’ involvement in case of a new war. However, CSTO may give political guarantees, rather than military ones,” the expert said.
The Organization, having been formed to tackle instability in Middle Asia, is not very effective is settlement of conflicts in South Caucasus. OSCE interference would be mostly through Russian army, Kazakhstan, Kirghizia and Tajikstan having no direct interest in South Caucasus,” the expert concluded.
